The chronicles of Ruin, continued.
Call me Ishmael said....intelligence is knowing what to do when you don't know what to do.
Anonymous said... When I don't know what to do,I come here.
10 September 2009 22:59
Sunday, 18 July 2021
The Sunday Ishmael 18th July 2021
The British Experiment
As we move smoothly (hah) out of lockdown, guided by senior Officers of State - the Prime Minister, the Chancellor of the Exchequer and the Secretary for Health, who all have Covid, have had Covid or are under special measures because they have been in close contact with a Covid sufferer, we really should listen to the Prof.
Professor Neil Ferguson, OBE, is an epidemiologist, professor of mathematical biology and former government advisor on the SAGE (Scientific Advisor Group for Emergencies) Committee. He was required to leave SAGE in May 2020, you'll remember, after entertaining a female friend in his home on at least two occasions, contrary to Government Guidance at the time. Matt Hancock, then Secretary of State for Health and Social Distancing, said that he was quite right to resign from his position.
Humiliated Hancock and his friend, Ms. Covid Angelo
Anyway, when his head is not full of thoughts of wee ladies, Professor Ferguson, OBE, uses mathematicalandstatisticalmodels to study the processes that influence thedevelopment,evolutionandtransmissionof infectious diseases. These have included SARS, pandemic influenza,BSE/vCJD, foot-and-mouth disease, HIV andsmallpox, in addition tobioterrorism.
PPE against bioterrorism
(The intentional release or dissemination ofbiological agents, such as bacteria,viruses, insects, fungi ortoxins, in a naturally occurring or a human-modified form). He advises the World Health Organisation.
So it seems sensible to pay attention to what he has to say.
A bit of a worry.
The Prof told Andrew Marr this morning that it is
almost inevitable that daily cases of COVID-19 will once again surge to 100,000 - with the potential of daily infections reaching 200,000. He also said that hospitalisation could reach 2,000 unless appropriate measures are adopted. Furthermore, there will be a concomitant increase in cases of Long Covid, which seems to be affecting up to 25% of people who have contracted even a fairly mild form of covid, in response to an over-firing of the immune system of people exposed to the Covid virus, who then experience Long Covid symptoms that are more debilitating than covid itself.
A Frail, Enfeebled Nation
The NHS tells us that symptoms of Long Covid include:
extreme tiredness
shortness of breath, heart palpitations, chest pain or tightness
problems with memory and concentration ("brain fog")
changes to taste and smell
joint pain
and University College London (UCL), identified 200 further symptoms affecting 10 organ systems in people with long Covid, including: hallucinations, insomnia, hearing and vision changes, short-term memory loss and speech and language issues. Others have reported gastro-intestinal and bladder problems, changes to periods and skin conditions.
On the eve of the removal of all those restrictions that were so controversial when introduced, and contrary to scientific evidence and advice, we are guided by a Government policy driven by economic considerations (tourism, pubs and restaurants) which has bowed to the inevitability of the British public gathering together in large, emotional crowds to watch and celebrate sporting events.
As Stanislav said, in response to bird flu: "Go in house, lock windows, kill budgie."
Corvid, Not Covid
Rooks and Crows are highly intelligent, self aware and social. They are tool users. They know about levers and forked twigs to spear grubs. They live in ancestral rookeries, where they court, mate, rear their children and sort out their disputes - hence the term: a Parliament of Rooks. They dispense justice to malfeasors - hence the term: a Murder of Crows. They are also capable of compassion and assistance to other species. The hedgehog's prime defence strategy is to curl up in a prickly ball, which isn't very effective against the motor vehicle. This is a crow helping a hedgehog to cross the road:
I don't do that much talking, these days. I
don't see many people, I hate speaking on the telephone and I don't
like the sound of my own voice. I like, well enough, the tones and
cadences, my accent and intonation, the sound per se, it's just that I
know, come tomorrow, I will bitterly regret much of what I said, today;
best keep schtum. Any time I talk to people all Hell breaks loose, for
me, at any rate. Doesn't matter how I do it, in person or on the phone,
I always regret it, could always have done better
In
the 'sixties, the telephone was a luxury which my parents couldn't
afford; even people who had 'phones kind of worshipped them, put them
on a special telephone table,
in
the hall, for everyone to see and envy, maybe a table with an
integral leatherette seat and a space for a telephone directory and a
notebook and often a nasty wee money box, bearing the instruction: Phone
from here whene'er you will, but don't forget who pays the bill,
reminding you, the visitor, to put some copper coins in this nasty
little box, in exchange for using the fucking 'phone; Christ, all that
rubbish about the Swinging Sixties. You wonder, I do, in retrospect,
that those fuckers-with-phones didn't charge you for a glass of water or
for flushing the loo, or for sitting on the hideous three-piece. But
it wasn't about money, it was about consumer snobbery - This Is Mine, I
Own It, Hyacinth Bucket stuff.
But
the 'phone, any phone - and they were all the same, maybe the odd one
was green or red but the majority were black bakelite, a ubiquitous,
post-war plastic - was a glamorous thing, exciting.
At about the age of
eleven, I acquired a friend, Mark Westwood, in whose detached home
there was a telephone, on a table, in the hall and I used to love
'phoning him up.
I'd go to one of those red GPO phone boxes; I'd put my
four big, dirty pennies in the slot, dial and wait until I could
press Button A, to complete the connection if the ringing was answered
or I could press Button B, to refund my four-pence, if the line was
engaged.
Once connected, I would try to slouch, standing up, maybe
putting my foot on the little directory shelf and pressing my shoulders
against the wall of tiny glass panels and try to anchor the heavy
handset, hands-free, between my jaw and my shoulder, just like they did
in the movies, except that in the movies they were normally cops or
private detectives, sitting at a leather desk and I was a kid in a
urine-smelly public telephone box, at Alcester Lane's End.
It didn't
matter, I was on the 'phone, didn't matter what I said or heard, it was
speaking on the phone to someone miles away, down mysterious wires and
subterranean cables, that's what counted, I would have spoken on the
'phone to complete strangers; it was the phone, not the speech; the
medium was the message.
Much
of my life has been like that, style over substance, form over content,
flash gibbering. When I was twenty, I had a silver Dunhill cigarette
lighter, cost a fortune, and I wore a suit with a little inside pocket,
low down, into which Mr Sophisticate could slip his lighter. Most
people had Ronson or Colibri lighters, some had Zippos, all of which
cost a fraction of the Dunhill.
mrs
ishmael often says to me How do you do that? Do what? That talking
thing, you are just so good at it, you can talk to anyone, about
anything, how do you do it? It's because I'm shy, terrified. What? You?
Harumph and nonsense.
I
know what she means. I used to do it. Engage with people, an
engagement fuelled by the terror that they would find-out all the things
of which I was guilty. But in, when was it, that the Amstrad 8256 came
out, mid-eighties? Whenever it was, I bought the first one in our
local Dixons and it changed my life, word-processing made speech look
like shit. Sound like shit.
I
couldn't type, then, and I still can't but that doesn't matter. The
word processor, housed now inside the laptop and the ouija-pad, is the
single most important thing in my life, I can no longer think without
it, well, obviously I can think without it but I cannot do thinking. I
could manage without the Internet but I would go nuts without a word
processor. If I want to know what I think about something, I start
writing about it, generally but not always here.
It's
not that I know already what I think and it's just a matter of writing
it down because often, when I see what I think I think, I realise that
it's not what I think but I didn't know that until I saw it written
down, as though to persuade another.
Marshal
McLuhan described the frying pan as an external stomach,
advance-processing the food; I feel that my word processor, similarly,
is my external brain - raw, uncooked thoughts as unpalatable as raw,
uncooked liver.
It's
the as-though-to-persuade-another aspect that's important - first of
all it has to persuade me, must have an internal consistency, a
beginning a middle and an end, maybe an inversion, maybe a chorus, must
have a rythm but most importantly, it must make sense, there may well
be paradox but things must resolve. If it doesn't persuade me, how dare
I put it before you?
If
only talking was like that, if only you could hear it first, not just
the broad thrust of it but, you know, every you know; if you could hear
every hesitation, every clutching at the air for le mot juste; if you
could foresee every arch, verbal device, every blunder, contradiction,
solecism, every insincerity, if you could hear it all in advance you'd
give up talking altogether, as I almost have.
Some
people seem to have an in-built speech editor and never say the wrong
thing. My late friend, Richard, was like that but after thirty years
of admiring it, admiring that, I dunno, that three wise managerial
monkey-speak, I found that I was doing him a favour by prodding and
goading him into a more vital, spontaneous response, one less focused,
more angrily defensive, less like he was addressing a meeting.
I
don't have that facility, though, of editing my speech before it comes
out; wouldn't want it, I don't suppose and so, more often than not,
conversation is a matter of regret, requiring apology and clarification
for which the moment is gone, forever - I know that even if I were to
chase after people and say, hang on, I didn't exactly mean what I now
realise you may have thought I meant, even if I did that I would, in
talking about talking, only make matters worse.
LONG DISTANCE INFORMATION, GIVE ME MEMPHIS, TENNESSEE. And
the tele-phone - a voice from afar - is infinitely more dangerous than
talking face-to-face; only really for emergencies, I think, the
telephone - so-and-so's dead, come quick; send lawyers, guns and money,
that sort of message. The sort of thing which was quite adequately
accomplished by the tele-graphic message - writing from afar - or in
it's bastard construction, a telegram.
Somehow,
though, it has become a huge, indispensible part of their lives for
many people talk incessantly on the telephone to other people whose
faces they cannot see and with whom, therefore, they can only
communicate most imperfectly - the visual signals are ninety per cent
of human communication and you do not observe them on the telephone. I
know that there's Skype and stuff but it's shit isn't it, like Richard
Branson's spacecraft, all bollocks, unreliable, fucked-up,
over-ambitious.
I
can do business stuff on the telephone, goods and services, can do that
as well as the next consumer-initiating-certain-disappointment, what I
can't do on the telephone is converse - be with, keep company with -
another person.
I
haven't had a portable telephone this century, there is nothing
important enough about any aspect of my life to require my permanent
contactability. There is no conceivable emergency which would prompt me
to carry such a thing, even were I able to operate one, which I am
not. When travelling with mrs ishmael she always has a phone in case of
breakdown; travelling alone, I don't bother. I simply don't care
enough about danger or inconvenience to go through all that business of
charging-up bits of junk and remembering how to do things, remembering
numbers, putting numbers in speed dial. Fuck it, I travelled all over
the country for decades without any of that. And that was in old and
unreliable vehicles. All my cars now are new and well-serviced. Am I supposed to worry myself to death that one of them will break-down in the middle of the Highlands? What's
the worst that can happen? I might have to walk some distance, I might
have to flag a lift. I got this far, didn't I, from the ocean and the
swamp and the caves; I'm sure I can get along the A9, without the help
of Nokia.
Maybe
it's seeing so many people walking along talking to thin air, maybe
it's being forced, unasked, to hear - listen to one side of - other's
stupid, miserable fucking lives, detailed in loud voices; maybe it's
hearing increasingly bizarre and annoying ring tones, whatever it is, I
hate the fucking things, engines of Satan, Ruin's junk-mail.
But I hate them most of all because they don't do what people are led to believe they do. And they do do something else.
mr ishmael's essay today is:
Nil By Mouth drafted 21/5/15
Both anthologies of the work of mr ishmael and his
young Polish friend, Stanislav, Plumb Cheap for You: Honest Not Invent
and Vent Stack - are available to purchase for mere money at Lulu or
Amazon. It is cheaper to buy from Lulu. Here's how to buy your own
copies:
Please register an account with them first. This will save
you a couple of quid, as going straight into the link provided below seems to
make paypal think it's ok to charge in dollars, and apply their own conversion
rate, which will put the price up slightly for a UK buyer. Once the new account
is set up, follow our link; a pop-up box asks for age confirmation - simply set
the date to (say) 1 January 1960, and proceed. (If you type the title, the
anthology will not appear as a search result until the "show explicit
content" box - found at the bottom left by scrolling down - has been
checked. You may also see the age verification box, as above, at this
point.)
The full title is "Vent Stack love from
stanislav" by ishmael smith, and the cover you'll see is red with white
titles and a picture of Buster the Previous Blog Dog having a green thought in
a green shade.
PROWRITINGAID15, WELCOME15 or TREAT15 in the coupon box,
which takes 15% off the price before postage. If this
code has expired by the time you reach this point, try a google search for
"Lulu.com voucher code" and see what comes up.
With the 15% voucher, the book (including delivery to a UK
address) should cost £10.89
2 comments:
Yardarm
said...
Ferguson has spent his career overestimating the death rate since the mad cow business twenty years ago. In fact, if he said everything was going to be fine, I`d start to worry.
I know, mr yardarm - with his projection of a daily variable of 100%, you might say he's just making it up as he goes along. Anything to get in front of a camera. BUT - we see it happening already - cases increasing, hospitals filling up, death rate increasing. Ir's okay to start worrying.
2 comments:
Ferguson has spent his career overestimating the death rate since the mad cow business twenty years ago. In fact, if he said everything was going to be fine, I`d start to worry.
I know, mr yardarm - with his projection of a daily variable of 100%, you might say he's just making it up as he goes along. Anything to get in front of a camera. BUT - we see it happening already - cases increasing, hospitals filling up, death rate increasing. Ir's okay to start worrying.
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